Today was a really bad day. To have such a bad day on the last day of the month, when the market should normally be up or at least flat, is sending a signal. I was going to move into sell mode on Thursday or Friday, but went into sell mode immediately at the open today. Actually, it was kind of amazing that only two stocks hit their stops today, given all the carnage. I am moving up stops especially tight now.
The first day of the month is usually very strong. If we are down tomorrow, that will be an even bigger signal that something is really wrong.
After two months, I'm sitting at exactly 50% in winning trades for the year. However, I'm nicely profitable since the winning trades are making me 2.6 times what the losing trades are losing. So it is like flipping a coin and winning $2.60 for heads and losing a $1 for tails. It's not sexy but it is making money. I'm well ahead of my profit goal for the first two months. In fact, I've made my goal for the first whole quarter, maybe I should quit now!
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