There's no longer any question about it - the rally since October is over. I was positioned all-in for the end of year rally that never happened. Instead, everything is getting slaughtered. It's time to throw in the towel.
I'm already up to nearly 30% cash just from the losers that have hit their stops. There are several more stocks very near their stops that I expect will get hit later today. I'm going to try to hold on to my big winners until Tuesday so as not to take the gain this year. If the selling continues into Tuesday, I expect to do some major selling then. Given that so many people will be doing the same, I expect Tuesday morning to be very nasty indeed.
Some people are saying that since this week has been so bad, we are likely to get a rally next week. Certainly that is possible, but I expect that the selling in big gainers from 2005 will be pretty intense.
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